In spite of all the attention Ron Paul has been getting online, Thompson is leading the polls. He is even ahead of political unexploded shell Giulliani (The Liberty Papers):
Here’s the summary. Fred Thompson, who hasn’t even declared his candidacy, leads Rudy Giuliani 28% to 27%. Romney and McCain are tied at 10%. Mike Huckabee and Sam Brownback get 2% each.
The top 3 candidates all have a multitude of issues that make them too much of a risk for the Republicans in 2008. Fred Thompson has the best chance of emerging at the top of the pack come primary season. The essence of his risk to the Democratic candidate boils down to his celebrity and the Reagan halo Republicans are certain to graft onto his spine. Ironically, this operation was last attempted on George W Bush, the man Thompson inherits most of his political mantle from. He has an unpopular position on the war, civil liberties, and in fact shares nearly every weakness Bush would bring to the table without the arguable benefit of the incumbency.
The fact is that Bush deserved the Reagan legacy. His failures are a result of, not a departure from, conservative Republican politics. Thompson would bring that same legacy to the 2008 elections. What may seem like a canny framing to Republican strategists will prove a heavy burden to bear against a Democratic candidate in line with voters on the most pressing issues of the day.
Even some Republican candidates can see this(Raw Story):
On Tuesday, Ron Paul, a 10-term congressman from Texas and a Republican Presidential candidate, expressed serious doubts about the chances of a GOP victory in the 2008 Presidential race if the nominee is a ‘pro-war’ hawk.
“I don’t see how any Republican candidate can possibly win next year as being proponents of war and with the intention of spreading war into Iran,” he told MSNBC News. “And it looks like it’s going to happen if we don’t have a new foreign policy.
It looks like the Republicans have set themselves up to lose in 2008.